BRAZIL                                                                                                                                 9/22/14

 

  • 1822:  Independence & monarchy
  • 1889:  End of slavery & monarchy—Federal Republic
    • Industrialization and middle-class development
    • Industrial sector more autonomous
    • Presidential transition between Sao Paulo and Minas Gerais
  • 1930-45:  Getulio Vargas
    • Depression, electoral fraud, violation of presidential transition, assassination of Vargas’ running mate, and rebellion overthrow the old order
    • Vargas installed as populist leader
    • 1930-37—Vargas more conciliatory toward export elites
    • 1937—Estado Novo
    • Corporatism, especially labor (loss of autonomy, more personalistic)
    • Industrialization, protectionism, social welfare
    • 1943-45—too authoritarian, personalistic, and leftist
    • 1945—Vargas ousted by military
  • 1945-64:  Democratic era
    • Weak parties—PSD and PTB were pro-Vargas; UDN was anti-Vargas
    • 1946-50—Dutra (PSD)
    • 1950-54—Vargas (PTB) returns
      • Economic problems of Dutra’s liberal policies paved the way for Vargas again
      • Joao Goulart:  Labor Minister and leftist (polarizing figure)—credit controls and multiple exchange rates—military forces resignation of Goulart in 1954
      • 1954—Vargas tilts further to the left (100% pay raise).  Aug, 1954—military tells Vargas to step down.  Instead he commits suicide
    • 1956-61:  Juscelino Kubitschek (PSD) with Goulart as V-P (PTB).
    • 1961:  Janio Quadros (independent) with Goulart as V-P.  Resigns after 7 months.
    • 1961-64:  Goulart succeeds Quadros—army is opposed
      • Increasing leftward tilt—tax and land reforms, nationalizations
      • Goulart supports leftist-oriented revolt in military
  • 1964-85:  Bureaucratic-Authoritian Era
    • March 31, 1964—military ousts Goulart
    • Pro-U.S.—foreign investment—austerity
    • U.S. role in coup:  http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB118/index.htm#audio and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JHcuehtV2cA
    • Series of “Institutional Acts  (restricting human rights, Congress, courts, etc.)
    • Eventually absolishing parties, Congress, unions, etc.
    • Cycles of mini-liberalizations followed by authoritarian reactions
    • 1966—new Constitution—consolidation of authoritarian policies of Institutional Acts
    • Economic success
    • Series of 5 military presidents
  • 1985-present:  New Democratic Era
    • Gradual transition—beginning with true Electoral College
    • 1985-90—Jose Sarney
    • 1990-92--Fernando Collor (first direct popular election)—impeached due to corruption
    • 1992-95—Itamar Franco (“Plano Real” under new Finance Minister Cardoso)
    • 1995-03—Fernando Henrique Cardoso
      • Sociologist (President of International Sociology Association) with ties to many U.S. universities.  Author of many books, including the most influential Dependency and Development in Latin America.
      • He allegedly once said "Forget what I wrote"
      • Umbrella coalition, with many neo-liberal tendencies
    • 2003-2010—Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (or simply, Lula)
      • Long-time union member and union leader
      • First ran for the presidency in 1989
      • Elected as the most leftist Brazilian president since Goulart—but has moderated into a more traditional social-democrat
    • 2010-present—Dilma Rousseff
      • Fought against the military governments
      • Imprisoned 1970-72, allegedly tortured
      • Close supporter of Lula
      • First female President of Brazil

 

CONCLUSION

  • Stages
    • Export-oriented and Traditional Oligary—through 1930s (but development of autonomous industry)
    • Easy ISI and Populism—Vargas (especially Estado Novo)—but “deeper” (1st integrated steel mill in Latin America)
    • Hard ISI and B-A—1964-1985
  •  Military “more successful in its own terms” (voluntary transition in 1985)
    • Compared with Argentina
      • Brazilian labor more controlled (no Peronist labor unions)
      • Weak political parties in Brazil
      • Brazilian military more astute and determined (created a dominant movement)